Probabilities in the Galaxy
A Distribution Model for habitable Planets
Copyright © Klaus Piontzik Claude Bärtels

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17.2 - The Situation today

This paradox was established in 1950. 65 years have now passed and the situation has changed decisively. Only a few UFO sightings were available in 1950. Today the number goes into the tens of thousands. The MUFON organization alone has documented over 70,000 cases. And part of it can be explained by the extraterrestrial hypothesis. [7]

According to sentence 6.6.1, between 3 - 71 technological civilizations, on an "Earth 2", could exist in our galaxy, operating interstellar spaceflight.
According to sentence 7.3.2, there could be between 1-12 old technological civilizations in our galaxy that could have visited us. Besides, chapter 7 has shown that it is quite possible that we have already been visited by alien species in the past.
All in all, the observations mentioned in the paradox are incomplete.

And wouldn't it be rather naive to think that aliens present would also appear publicly? A similar situation arises here on Earth in primate research.
To study a horde of gorillas in their natural environment with their natural behavior, one must remain invisible as an observer.
If you show yourself to the gorillas, the situation changes abruptly and the gorillas no longer behave naturally. The procedure of primate researchers consists of accompanying the monkeys and only when they have become accustomed to the visitor and return to their natural behavior to begin the actual field research.
The situation is similar with the world's population and the aliens. If an alien species were to land here publicly, the entire psychological situation on Earth would be changed.
If aliens want to study us and conduct their experiments, it is appropriate to remain undiscovered.

A number of alien species are likely to be many times older than our civilization. In their eyes we would be better primates or just primitives.
Thus, the understanding mentioned in the paradox is incomplete or erroneous. Therefore, we can conclude here

17.2.1 Theorem The Fermi paradox is obsolete and can be omitted.


The Fermi paradox is outdated in view of today's events and findings and the considerations in this book (especially Chapter 7.5).

 

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